⚽ FootballData
vs

11 Apr 2026 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
31.1%
Norwich
26.9%
Draw
42.0%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Norwich

vs
1.54

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS58.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).