Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Rodez
23.8%
Draw
24.4%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Rodez
vs
0.95
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).