Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.7%
Northampton
21.7%
Draw
65.6%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
Northampton
vs
1.67
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.9%
0-2
15.1%
0-0
10.0%
1-1
9.2%
0-3
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
0-4
3.5%
2-1
2.8%
2-2
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).