Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Lechia Gdańsk
21.9%
Draw
25.8%
Pogoń Szczecin
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Lechia Gdańsk
vs
1.52
Pogoń Szczecin
Markets
BTTS70.1%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-2
5.0%
1-0
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
2-3
3.4%
0-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).