Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.0%
Lugo
26.5%
Draw
53.6%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Lugo
vs
1.46
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.8%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
11.4%
0-0
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.4%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).