Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.0%
Benevento
30.4%
Draw
50.6%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Benevento
vs
1.37
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.4%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
13.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.8%
0-3
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-0
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).