Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Queens Park Rangers
25.0%
Draw
32.7%
Harpenden Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Queens Park Rangers
vs
1.24
Harpenden Town
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).