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19 Apr 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.7%
Standard
32.5%
Draw
36.8%
Westerlo

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Standard

vs
1.02

Westerlo

Markets

BTTS38.6%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.530.3%
Over 3.512.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.1%
0-1
14.4%
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.7%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).