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23 Jan 2026 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.2%
Trabzonspor
20.8%
Draw
11.0%
Kasımpaşa

Expected Goals (xG)

2.47

Trabzonspor

vs
0.97

Kasımpaşa

Markets

BTTS58.8%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
6.0%
0-0
5.1%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-2
3.8%
1-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).