Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Tranmere
23.7%
Draw
34.6%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Tranmere
vs
1.36
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.2%
0-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).