Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Nice
22.5%
Draw
48.9%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Nice
vs
1.80
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS60.9%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.2%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
5.7%
0-3
4.3%
0-0
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).