Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.2%
York
17.7%
Draw
9.2%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
York
vs
0.74
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
3-0
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
5.9%
0-0
5.0%
4-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
5-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).