Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.2%
Eibar
22.6%
Draw
12.2%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Eibar
vs
0.58
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS36.3%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
2-0
14.8%
1-1
9.9%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
8.5%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.0%
4-0
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).