Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Baltika Kaliningrad
29.8%
Draw
11.3%
Spartak Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Baltika Kaliningrad
vs
0.48
Spartak Moskva
Markets
BTTS29.8%
Over 0.583.5%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.2%
0-0
16.5%
2-0
15.0%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-0
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
0-2
1.7%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).