Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.5%
Strasbourg
21.8%
Draw
23.7%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Strasbourg
vs
1.11
Lorient
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
5.4%
0-0
4.8%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).