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23 Apr 2025 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.7%
LASK Linz
29.2%
Draw
33.1%
SK Rapid

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

LASK Linz

vs
1.18

SK Rapid

Markets

BTTS51.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
9.5%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).