Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.2%
Union Berlin
25.7%
Draw
19.1%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Union Berlin
vs
0.91
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
6.0%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).