Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.2%
Kilmarnock
28.9%
Draw
16.0%
Arbroath
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Kilmarnock
vs
0.75
Arbroath
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-0
12.1%
0-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).