Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.2%
Nott'm Forest
29.7%
Draw
42.1%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Nott'm Forest
vs
1.43
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.4%
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).