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15 Apr 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.9%
Rotherham
16.9%
Draw
74.2%
Coventry

Expected Goals (xG)

0.75

Rotherham

vs
2.44

Coventry

Markets

BTTS48.5%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.3%
0-3
10.0%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
1-1
8.1%
1-3
7.5%
0-4
6.1%
0-0
4.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-2
3.4%
0-5
3.0%
2-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).