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AHT: 11CSV

11 Jan 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.0%
Westerlo
25.3%
Draw
42.7%
St Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Westerlo

vs
1.63

St Truiden

Markets

BTTS60.9%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
7.4%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
0-0
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).