Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.5%
Altrincham
18.5%
Draw
72.0%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Altrincham
vs
2.29
Notts County
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.8%
0-1
10.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
7.1%
0-4
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
2-1
3.0%
1-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).