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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.0%
Broxbourne Borough V&E
28.4%
Draw
59.6%
Basford United

Expected Goals (xG)

0.41

Broxbourne Borough V&E

vs
1.30

Basford United

Markets

BTTS24.4%
Over 0.582.4%
Over 1.550.9%
Over 2.524.8%
Over 3.59.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
23.7%
0-0
17.6%
0-2
15.3%
1-1
9.4%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
1-3
2.7%
0-4
2.2%
2-1
2.0%
2-0
1.5%
2-2
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).