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14 Jan 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.5%
Tranmere
23.9%
Draw
46.7%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Tranmere

vs
1.58

Walsall

Markets

BTTS54.9%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.0%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).