Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.0%
Lillestrøm
18.2%
Draw
67.7%
Sandefjord
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Lillestrøm
vs
2.28
Sandefjord
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.3%
1-1
8.5%
0-3
8.0%
1-3
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-1
4.0%
0-0
4.0%
1-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).