Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Doncaster
24.5%
Draw
30.0%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Doncaster
vs
1.08
Northampton
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).