Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.3%
Wrexham
12.4%
Draw
5.4%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.93
Wrexham
vs
0.68
Sutton
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.548.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
1-1
5.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-0
4.9%
5-1
3.3%
0-0
3.2%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).