Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.5%
Alaves
27.6%
Draw
16.8%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Alaves
vs
0.62
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS34.4%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.8%
0-0
13.4%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
0-2
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).