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28 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.2%
Rangers
17.1%
Draw
7.6%
Aberdeen

Expected Goals (xG)

2.31

Rangers

vs
0.61

Aberdeen

Markets

BTTS41.8%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.3%
1-0
11.9%
3-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-0
6.4%
0-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-0
3.0%
0-1
2.8%
2-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).