Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.9%
Exeter
20.7%
Draw
16.3%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Exeter
vs
0.84
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).