Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Lens
27.1%
Draw
19.4%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Lens
vs
0.64
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS33.6%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.556.9%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.6%
0-0
13.3%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
11.0%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
0-2
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).