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DHT: 00

31 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.0%
Sheppey United
22.4%
Draw
21.6%
Hanwell Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Sheppey United

vs
1.02

Hanwell Town

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).