Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.7%
Colchester
21.0%
Draw
14.3%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Colchester
vs
0.72
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.1%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-0
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).