Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Cardiff
28.8%
Draw
28.6%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Cardiff
vs
1.08
Reading
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).