⚽ FootballData
3 – 1
HHT: 20

29 Nov 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
30.2%
Kortrijk
25.0%
Draw
44.8%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Kortrijk

vs
1.64

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS59.3%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.0%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.7%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.8%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).