Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.1%
Cardiff
19.4%
Draw
68.5%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Cardiff
vs
2.29
Fulham
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
0-1
9.0%
0-3
8.4%
1-3
7.4%
0-0
4.9%
0-4
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).