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AHT: 01CSV

26 Dec 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.0%
Gent
23.8%
Draw
61.2%
St. Gilloise

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Gent

vs
1.80

St. Gilloise

Markets

BTTS45.5%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).