Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.7%
Varaždin
28.2%
Draw
42.2%
Zagreb
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Varaždin
vs
1.51
Zagreb
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).