Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.4%
Oviedo
21.1%
Draw
12.5%
Villarreal B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Oviedo
vs
0.66
Villarreal B
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
2-0
13.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.4%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).