Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.0%
Luton
30.1%
Draw
36.9%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Luton
vs
1.23
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
10.4%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).