Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.5%
Rotherham
24.0%
Draw
21.5%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Rotherham
vs
0.82
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
1-1
11.0%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).