Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.6%
Cardiff
26.8%
Draw
17.6%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Cardiff
vs
0.80
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
11.6%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).