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24 May 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.9%
Tottenham
30.4%
Draw
42.8%
Everton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Tottenham

vs
1.39

Everton

Markets

BTTS50.9%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).