Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Preston
31.0%
Draw
28.2%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Preston
vs
0.96
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
12.4%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).