Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.9%
Lorient
22.6%
Draw
42.5%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Lorient
vs
1.63
Monaco
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
0-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).