Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.7%
Spennymoor Town
20.1%
Draw
7.3%
Chadderton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Spennymoor Town
vs
0.37
Chadderton
Markets
BTTS25.7%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.8%
2-0
18.4%
0-0
11.3%
3-0
11.0%
1-1
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-0
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).