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DHT: 11CSV

19 May 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.4%
Mallorca
23.4%
Draw
24.2%
Almeria

Expected Goals (xG)

1.86

Mallorca

vs
1.20

Almeria

Markets

BTTS59.5%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
0-0
5.0%
3-2
3.6%
0-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).