Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.8%
Notts County
26.4%
Draw
26.9%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Notts County
vs
0.96
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).