Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Alcorcon
29.5%
Draw
26.1%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Alcorcon
vs
0.84
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.8%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).