Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.2%
Bochum
27.0%
Draw
44.9%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Bochum
vs
1.53
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
7.9%
0-0
7.5%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).